Economics

WARMART

The conflict in Iran has caused many negative repercussions, from recession and inflation fears due to the nearly 100% spike in oil prices year-to-date, to the overall economic uncertainty caused […]

April 10, 2026 | Economics , Investment Commentary |

The Other Guys

For the better part of three years, the S&P 500 has not really been an index of 500 stocks. It has been an index of roughly ten, with 490 other […]

April 9, 2026 | Economics , Investment Commentary |

37% Risk, 63% Reward

Is today’s U.S. stock market riskier than the top of the internet bubble in 2000? While 2025 bulls point to a lack of a frothy IPO market, 2025 bears point […]

October 7, 2025 | Global Equities , Economics |

It’s All Relative: The U.S. Dollar in 2025 and Beyond

The U.S. dollar (USD) has experienced a historically bad year. Its return through the first half of the year was the worst in over 50 years. Through the third quarter, […]

October 5, 2025 | Global Equities , Economics |

Which Fed Mandate Will Win?

The Federal Open Market Committee (the Fed) is in a tough position. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, has fallen dramatically and is now approaching its long-term […]

July 12, 2025 | Economics |

Tariffs and the Market

Since invoking the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) on April 2nd, 2025 (“Liberation Day”), President Trump has overseen the most dramatic shift in U.S. trade policy since the Smoot-Hawley […]

July 11, 2025 | Global Equities , Economics |

A Test of Independence: Can the Federal Reserve Survive Pressure from the White House?

Fixed Income performance in the first half of the year was solid yet tenuous. Interest rate volatility hit a two-year high in April as the threat of tariffs and trade […]

July 10, 2025 | Economics , Fixed Income |

Three Reasons Why the Fed Continues to Be Late

Last month, the Federal Reserve Board of Governors made the splashy announcement of a 0.50% cut to the Federal Funds rate, lowering the target rate to 5.00% from a peak […]

October 18, 2024 | Economics |

The 2024 Election: Taxes, the Economy, and the Market

As we approach the November elections, uncertainty looms over the markets and the economy. While elections always bring a degree of unpredictability, this year’s contest between Vice President Harris and […]

October 17, 2024 | Economics |

The Cheapest Most Expensive Index in History

Is this arguably the cheapest most expensive U.S. equities market in history? We examine this extreme investing environment. Entering 2024, investors were generally positive about the prospect of a solid […]

July 12, 2024 | Economics , Investment Commentary |

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Authors

  • Aaron Szager, CFP
  • Alexandra Sandberg, CFP®, ChFC®, ECA
  • Ben Viemeister, CFA
  • Charles Osborne
  • Chuck Else
  • Dan Haut, CFA, CFP®, CIMA®
  • Jack Fagan, CFA
  • Jason Rodnick, CFA
  • Jay Skaalen, CFA, CFP®
  • Jim Baer
  • Justin McNichols, CFA
  • Karen McMillan, CFP®
  • Tom Piro, CFP®, Enrolled Agent
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