The conflict in Iran has caused many negative repercussions, from recession and inflation fears due to the nearly 100% spike in oil prices year-to-date, to the overall economic uncertainty caused […]
The Other Guys
For the better part of three years, the S&P 500 has not really been an index of 500 stocks. It has been an index of roughly ten, with 490 other […]
37% Risk, 63% Reward
Is today’s U.S. stock market riskier than the top of the internet bubble in 2000? While 2025 bulls point to a lack of a frothy IPO market, 2025 bears point […]
It’s All Relative: The U.S. Dollar in 2025 and Beyond
The U.S. dollar (USD) has experienced a historically bad year. Its return through the first half of the year was the worst in over 50 years. Through the third quarter, […]
Which Fed Mandate Will Win?
The Federal Open Market Committee (the Fed) is in a tough position. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, has fallen dramatically and is now approaching its long-term […]
Tariffs and the Market
Since invoking the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) on April 2nd, 2025 (“Liberation Day”), President Trump has overseen the most dramatic shift in U.S. trade policy since the Smoot-Hawley […]
A Test of Independence: Can the Federal Reserve Survive Pressure from the White House?
Fixed Income performance in the first half of the year was solid yet tenuous. Interest rate volatility hit a two-year high in April as the threat of tariffs and trade […]
Three Reasons Why the Fed Continues to Be Late
Last month, the Federal Reserve Board of Governors made the splashy announcement of a 0.50% cut to the Federal Funds rate, lowering the target rate to 5.00% from a peak […]
The 2024 Election: Taxes, the Economy, and the Market
As we approach the November elections, uncertainty looms over the markets and the economy. While elections always bring a degree of unpredictability, this year’s contest between Vice President Harris and […]
The Cheapest Most Expensive Index in History
Is this arguably the cheapest most expensive U.S. equities market in history? We examine this extreme investing environment. Entering 2024, investors were generally positive about the prospect of a solid […]










