Last month, the Federal Reserve Board of Governors made the splashy announcement of a 0.50% cut to the Federal Funds rate, lowering the target rate to 5.00% from a peak […]
The 2024 Election: Taxes, the Economy, and the Market
As we approach the November elections, uncertainty looms over the markets and the economy. While elections always bring a degree of unpredictability, this year’s contest between Vice President Harris and […]
The Cheapest Most Expensive Index in History
Is this arguably the cheapest most expensive U.S. equities market in history? We examine this extreme investing environment. Entering 2024, investors were generally positive about the prospect of a solid […]
2023: The Year of Inflections
Entering 2023, the consensus outlook was bearish for most asset classes. Inflation would remain stubbornly high. Interest rates would continue to rise and remain higher for much longer. Corporate earnings […]
Mid-Year Asset Class Stoplight
How has Osborne Partners’ asset-class positioning changed since the October 2022 lows? Markets surprised the consensus view in the first half of 2023. Entering the year, the common view for […]
First Republic Bank – “It WAS a Privilege to Serve You”
An analysis of the bank’s collapse, the implications for its clients, the ongoing risks to other banks, and the broader market and economic implications. Early on the morning of May […]
Known Unknowns
There are known knowns; there are things we know we know. We also know there are known unknowns… “There are known knowns; there are things we know we know. We […]
The Fog of War
Perspective amid a volatile year as the Fed battles inflation. Fog often envelopes the Bay Area. At times, it is very dense, limiting visibility and raising uncertainty for travelers. […]
2022’s Painful Lessons
In this piece, we review the important lessons that investors learned so far in 2022, and why our Investment Team strives to avoid these mistakes every day. As the painful […]
Stagflation Redux?
Are we poised to relive the economic malaise of the 1970s and early-1980s? Inflation emerged as the primary concern for the markets during the second quarter. The Consumer Price Index […]